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Market Update 021020

February 10, 2020

ALMONDS:

Weather in California is almost perfect and as a result bloom looks wonderful as we look ahead to the 2020 Crop.

Most feel that this year&rsquo;s crop will land closer to the Subjective Estimate of 2.5 billion and not the Objective Estimate of 2.2 billion pounds as crop receipts are showing... Read More

Market Update 010720

January 7, 2020

Cheaper prices can be found in each category, one has to look closely however.

ALMONDS

Market on pollinators is firm, they will sell all of them it seems.
Bl Manufactured $3.65-75
Nat Manufactured $3.55-65
NP 27/30 Pasteurized $3.10-20
Cal/Car 27/30 ssr $2.90
Blanched Meal $3.05-25

PECANS

Inshell is up and down a nickel... Read More

Walnut Production Forecast Down

September 5, 2019

The 2019 California walnut production is forecast at 630,000 tons, down 6.8 percent from 2018's production of 676,000 tons and even further down from last year's estimate of 690,000 tons.

New Crop sales should be available to consumers as early as next week... Read More

Almond Objective Estimate 2019

July 3, 2019

Today the National Agricultural Statistical Service published the objective estimate for the 2019 California Almond crop at 2.20 billion pounds based on 1.17 million bearing acres.

This is down 12% from May's Subjective Estimate and 3.5% down from last year's crop... Read More

Subjective Estimate

2.50 Billion Pounds Estimated
May 10, 2019

The NASS Subjective Estimate indicates the below:

"The initial subjective forecast for the 2019 California almond production is 2.50 billion pounds. Forecasted production is 9.6 percent above last year's production of 2.28 billion pounds... Read More

Subjective Estimate out Tomorrow 5/10

May 9, 2019

The Almond Subjective Estimate comes out tomorrow 5/10/2019

See the attached pdf from the Almond Board regarding pre-release information.

Great write up!

Read More

Market Update 050619

May 6, 2019

ALMONDS:

Pricing is fairly stable.

Pollinators are becoming very short and it looks like it will come down to the wire again this year.

Non Pareil seems as if it will be the majority of the carry out again this year.

New crop is looking favorable, based on new bearing acres and average yield per acre we could see a 2.55+ billion pound crop.

The gap in pricing between NP and Pollinizers has closed significantly, from about 50 cents to as narrow as .05/#.

New crop is selling at a 10-15 cent discount.

NPS at $2.90-3.00.
Cal/Car $2.75-2.90
Manufactured $3.55-$3.70

WALNUTS:

Market is stable, shipments are good.

LHP $2.75
LMP $2.80
Pasteurized.

Crop is also coming along nicely... Read More

Almond Market Update

Feb 2019 Shipping Report
March 13, 2019

The latest Almond Shipping Report indicates steady demand as supply starts to dwindle and struggles some to cover customer needs like we saw last year.

Based on the latest report, final supply will come in 30 million pounds shorter than last year... Read More

Market Update 022019

February 20, 2019

ALMONDS

Shipping report was bullish last week. Another record month. Pricing is fairly stable even so.

Pollinators are becoming very short and it looks like it will come down to the wire again this year.

Nonpareil seems as if it will be the majority of the carry out again this year.

New crop is looking favorable, based on new bearing acres and average yield per acre we could see a 2.6 or 2.7 billion pound crop.

Chilling hours have been favorable as well as water conditions for a large yield per acre.

The gap in pricing between NP and Pollenizers has closed significantly, from about 50 cents to as narrow as 10-15.

NPS $2.95-3.15
Cal/Car $2.75-2.90
Manufactured $3.50-$3.75

There has been weird weather and a bit of Hail over the weekend... Read More

Last Update of the Year!

December 31, 2018

ALMONDS:

The next almond position report is scheduled to be released on January 11th and it will contain the final numbers for the 2018 crop receipts.

If receipts are off as much as many are saying (100-150 million lbs), prices will likely jump up even further post report.

Some larger companies have already started to realize this and have begun taking cover to get them through the Subjective estimate that comes out in May.

Some are saying that the Subjective estimate could be as high as 2.6 billion pounds for next year, not too much of a stretch really... Read More

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